Analisis Forex & Kajian: 28.03.2025 - EUR/USD. Analysis and...

28.03.2025 11:45 AM

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating near the key psychological level of 1.0800, showing no intention of retreating below 1.0780 as traders and investors await the release of the U.S. PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) Price Index.

This data will be closely watched for clues on the Federal Reserve's next steps, which are expected to significantly influence the dollar's short-term dynamics and potentially give new momentum to the EUR/USD pair.

Recent developments, including the introduction of 25% tariffs on imported cars and light trucks by U.S. President Donald Trump, along with duties on all steel and aluminum, have created market uncertainty and contributed to the weakening of the U.S. Dollar Index. This, in turn, is supporting the EUR/USD pair, especially in light of the Fed's forecasts for interest rate cuts. At the same time, a slight trade shift is preventing the dollar from extending its retreat from multi-week highs, limiting EUR/USD's upward potential.

Nevertheless, a significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar appears unlikely for now, amid concerns that Trump's aggressive trade policies could slow U.S. economic growth, potentially forcing the Fed to resume rate cuts soon. Markets have already priced in the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering borrowing costs at its monetary policy meetings in June, July, and October. This has kept dollar bulls on the defensive, helping to contain downside pressure on EUR/USD.

It is also worth noting that the EU is preparing retaliatory measures in response to U.S. tariffs, which could further escalate trade tensions and raise the risk of a trade war between the EU and the U.S., adding more pressure on the EUR/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, if the pair holds above the 1.0780 level, it could open the door to further gains. However, the 1.0725 level or the 200-day SMA remains key support, and a break below it would likely lead to additional selling. Still, with oscillators on the daily chart holding firmly in positive territory, the path of least resistance remains to the upside—especially if prices break through the 1.0800 mark.

The current situation calls for close monitoring, particularly in light of upcoming economic data and speeches from FOMC members.

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Fundamental analysis

Irina Yanina,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Gelombang Ketegangan Melanda Pasaran

Mengapa Dolar Menurun Jika Isu Tarif Menjejaskan Semua Pihak? (Pembetulan Harga Dijangka bagi GBP/USD dan EUR/USD Selepas Kenaikan Mendadak)

Apakah yang Perlu Diberikan Perhatian pada 3 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Gambaran Keseluruhan Pasangan GBP/USD – 3 April: Pasaran Letih dengan Tarif Trump

Gambaran Keseluruhan Pasangan EUR/USD – 3 April. Tarif Trump: Tidak Semudah Yang Disangkakan

GBP/USD: Optimisme daripada Menteri Britain dan Risiko Kedudukan Beli

XAU/USD. Analisis dan Ramalan

AUD/USD: Analisis dan Ramalan

Pasaran Mungkin Bertindak Balas terhadap Tarif Baharu Amerika Syarikat dengan Pertumbuhan—Tetapi dengan Satu Syarat... (Penurunan GBP/USD dan Kenaikan USD/CAD Berkemungkinan)

Pasaran Memerlukan Bukti

Analisis terbaik